El Nino Map 2025. This likelihood increases to 60% from october 2024 to february 2025, with the chance of el niño redeveloping during this time being negligible. The starting point for the climate prediction center, the home of the official u.s.
El niño and la niña, together called the el niño southern oscillation (enso), are episodic departures from expected sea surface temperatures (ssts) in the equatorial pacific ocean. Suddenly, ecmwf is favoring the development of el nino in the extended range forecast valid for the second half of 2025 (fig.